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New Nostradamus: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Created 1/14/2010 4:07:09 PM

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a political scientist, professor at New York University, and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. A graduate of the University of Michigan, he specializes in international relations, foreign policy, and nation building. He is also one of the authors of the selectorate theory, and is also the director of New York University's Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy.

He has founded a company, Mesquita & Roundell, that specializes in making political and foreign-policy forecasts using an unpublished and proprietary computer model based on game theory and rational choice theory.

He was featured as the primary subject in a documentary on the History Channel in December 2008. The show, titled Next Nostradamus, details how Bueno de Mesquita uses computer algorithms to attempt to predict future world events. In the documentary the narrator claims that Bueno de Mesquita's algorithm is secret and proprietary, thus not subject to peer review. In a profile of Bueno de Mesquita in the Sunday New York Times magazine section of August 16, 2009, Clive Thompson, author of the article, claims (without providing any references) that a great many of Bueno de Mesquita's forecasts have appeared in peer reviewed journals and that much of the mathematics behind his theories can be found in peer reviewed journal articles and university press books.

If you like to know him more, try following links: