Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a political
scientist, professor at New York University, and senior fellow
at the Hoover Institution. A graduate of the University of
Michigan, he
specializes in international relations, foreign policy, and nation
building. He is also one of the authors of the selectorate theory,
and is also the director of New
York University's Alexander
Hamilton Center for Political
Economy.
He has founded a company, Mesquita
& Roundell, that specializes in making political and
foreign-policy forecasts using an unpublished and proprietary
computer model based on game theory and rational choice
theory.
He was featured as the primary subject
in a documentary on the History Channel in December 2008. The show,
titled Next Nostradamus, details how Bueno de Mesquita uses
computer algorithms to attempt to predict future world events. In
the documentary the narrator claims that Bueno de Mesquita's
algorithm is secret and proprietary, thus not subject to peer
review. In a profile of Bueno de Mesquita in the Sunday New York
Times magazine section of August 16, 2009, Clive Thompson, author of
the article, claims (without providing any references) that a great
many of Bueno de Mesquita's forecasts have appeared in peer reviewed
journals and that much of the mathematics behind his theories can be
found in peer reviewed journal articles and university press
books.
If you like to know him more, try
following links: