By: Alireza Hejazi
Environmental scanning is all about identifying emerging issues.
When an issue becomes enough big to be considered as a
potential
driver of
change,
it is called: Trend.
A
trend is a lot
easier
to
manage
before it has acquired a lot of mass and picked up momentum. The
process of reviewing a wide variety of specialized or esoteric
sources to sift out the spores of change is called:
environmental scanning.
TRENDS:
1. Inclinations
or tendencies.
Directions
of change in one variable over time;
2. Analytical
comprehension and
usage
as:
stay the same; increase; increase and then level out or decrease;
decrease; or decrease and then level out or increase;
3. Driven
by some change
in the environment;
4. When
trends stabilize, we start thinking of them as conditions;
ISSUES:
1. Issues
are
newborn trends
out of
aging conditions and sedentary trends.
2. Issues grow with people's attention and concerns
into a trends.
3. Issues
analysis assumes that change is rooted in the innovative and the
extraordinary.
Reference:
Schultz,
Wendy L.
(1994).
What to do when you want to surf the tsunamis of change,
Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies,
Retrieved from:
http://www.infinitefutures.com/essays/planning/surfing.shtml